Flipping the Taliban

Summary --

The deployment of more U.S. troops to Afghanistan is necessary to tip the balance of power against the Taliban. But this military "surge" must be accompanied with a political one designed to persuade insurgents to give up their fight.

User Comments

$$ rules

Corporations switch sides all the time. It's nothing personal, it's just business.

Wahhabism is $$-created, and $$-sustained:
Saudi and poppy.

(1) Aggressively manipulate poppy business. Make the business stable, the $$ predictable, and in the hands of reliable Afghans. Help eliminate disruptive or alien competitors.

(2) USE THE NEW LONG-ACTING HEROIN ANTIDOTE for surging addiction among Afghans. It's injectable, lasts 6.5 weeks. (cf. NIDA - drug addiction section of Nat'l Inst. of Health, NIH -website; "depot buprenorphine").
Cheap, no need for skilled medical teams in the field just someone who can give a shot, no need whatsoever for "brick-and-mortar" clinics/personnel.

Observation: FA authors are right down the street from NIDA/NIH. NIDA has had the heroin/opium antidote since 1981.
You knew going in that opium ruled. And you STILL have not accessed NIDA's resources? For 28 YEARS?

What about at least exercising yourselves re: opium risk to our troops?

News reports (4/09) from UN: est. 17% of Afghan police test positive for opium....
whoever controls their supply, controls them.

How hazardous are addicted Afghan "allies" to our troops?

Addiction-risk to troops themselves? The stuff falls off the trucks!

A REALITY OF WAR

Our next defeat??? Afghanistan, Yes gone are the days of conventional warfare. Now days its gorilla-warfare. Like our fore-fathers fought the British. the most powerful army's of that time. Unless we Nuke the whole country. I mean like turning the country into a fire ball,yes, killing millions like we did in Korea and Vietnam. Wars, should always be the last result. Yes, I hate wars, having fought in one before.

Forgotten Warriors. Forgotten War.

Earth to Idealists, Wake Up!

There is no doubt that the gender structures existing in Afghan society have to change.

Your argument, to an extent, is so self-evident as to be tautological. Many of the words you've posted say nothing other than the fact that you have a soul.

Our best efforts at nation-building, however, have historically yielded far less fruit than your ambitions are prepared to accept.

If a central tenet of nation-building is the setup of a functional state government, we still have yet to check this box. Official corruption in Afghanistan is such that President Hamid Karzai has been accused of turning a blind eye to family members and high ranking government officials dealing in their booming narco-economy.

If another core indicator of successful nation- building implies a network of supportive local governments, the statistics here are even more bleak.

If the overarching concern of nation-building is creating the governable space for a regime to assert its authority as the sole legitimate wielder of force, we still have a long way to go on this front as well.

If these core state capacities have yet to come into fruition, how would you propose to attack an issue that exists at the household level?

While your post (which is nothing short of a bleeding heart, a tear on a blanket, and a violin playing sombrely in the distance) tries to paint my analysis as disaffected and simplistic ("morally and intellectually bankrupt") I would ask you to produce a single picture of a palace built in a sink-hole.

Your answer would seem to be that we simply must eradicate the Taliban since they are irreconcilable with your vision for a new Afghanistan and are meany pants women haters. Your answer would seem to be that the US should commit to occupying Afghanistan until men change their minds - when American women make 23% less then men doing the same jobs.

But that isn't your most egregious offence.

Your biggest fault is that you want to make Afghans more like you. You've never heard of cultural relativism and therefore you have no respect for it. Notwithstanding your dramatisations of how terrible things are, you offend everyone here by suggesting that we don't already know the situation of women, etc.

Your post was worthless insofar as failed to offer anything even remotely resembling a policy prescription for any of the issues you lost sleep over last night. Anyone watching a Youtube video about Afghanistan can know what you know.

Tell us what we don't know: How do we MAKE them play nice? More importantly, can we?

Anyone who's taken a conflict resolution class or who's done work in the field knows that consensus-building is the name of the game.

Therefore, how could you, touting human rights, purport to exclude a major sector of Afghan society from nation-building, suggesting instead that we kill them - which is the only other alternative (we tried jailing them and failed miserably).

This somehow seems hypocritical. Afghanistan will not stand unless the Taliban has a seat at the table. Until they do, they will continue recruiting the angry, jobless masses for their cause which, without our help, would prevail. The authors' only sin was being a realist with actual solutions we might try on for size.

Unemployment

This article was right to make the issue of unemployment one of the most important concerns breeding Talibanism.

Secondly, Ciccina D. is sadly mistaken if she actually believes that the U.S. gov't is concerned with human rights issues in Afghanistan enough to do anything about them. We are dealing with enough just in trying to combat the forces which posed a national security challenges for the U.S. which means making sure that hardlined elements of the Taliban - those connected with al Qaeda - remain deposed from power. State-building is only in our interest to the extent that it accomplish this goal and all else is secondary and tertiary.

Look at Africa's ongoing atrocities. Pres. Bill Clinton summed up our position on the Rwandan genocide by saying that those issues were outside our immediate interests. Same thing. We can't solve the world's issues and having the mentality that it is our job to in the first place - drawing lines convolutedly, to our own security - leads to what Jack Snider would call over-expansion and is a myth of empire.

Additionally, those are domestic matters and Afghan sovereignty has to be respected.

Like others have posted, state problems like violence against women, stalled development, health concerns, etc, can only be meaningfully addressed within the context of a stable security environment.

Narco-statehood and corruption, however, will seemingly need to be dealt with first in order to lay the groundwork upon which the other developmental concerns can be addressed.

same old excuses, same old mistakes

"Additionally, those are domestic matters and Afghan sovereignty has to be respected."

This is the time-tested excuse of people who look the other way when human rights are abused, particularly those of women. From cops who would refuse to arrest men who beat their wives (*its a family matter, we don't want to get involved in a domestic situation*), to scores of dictators telling human rights watchdogs to butt out, its the same old story - the characteristic cry of the morally and intellectually bankrupt.

This is not a question of whether or not the US should intervene, whether or not we should nation-build. We already did, and we already are. Now that we're involved, we can't tacitly or actively condone (much less fund) actions that contradict the goals of US foreign policy. You and the authors posit a sort of policy schizophrenia, in which the US spends money promoting development, public health, equality, and so on, while simultaneously funding groups who are doing the opposite. Now where is the sense in that? Is it so objectionable to suggest that ALL of our foreign policy goals and strategies be integrated, instead of set at cross-purposes?

Furthermore, you cannot have security and you cannot have stability when half of a population is enslaved and the whole population lives in daily fear for their lives. You cannot have stability and you cannot have security when even the slightest deviation from the dictated code of behavior - dancing a few steps, shaving one's beard - could be punished by immediate death.

As for "Afghan sovereignty" - you've got to be joking. Do you actually think that the Afghan people want to live in fear and misery? That that is their choice? That they want to be illiterate, that they want to die in childbirth, that they want to be banned from earning money, that they want to be abducted and raped, that they want to be orphans? That Afghans are somehow different from all other people in the world, that they want to be oppressed and terrorized?

Open your eyes and look around the world. All of our saber rattling at the government of Iran did nothing compared to the educated, empowered women who took to the streets before and after the election. With women educated and empowered, the number of pro-democracy, pro-stability activists is more than doubled. The Iranian protestors speak with far more moral weight because they represent the whole population - as opposed to being just another group of men fighting each other in the street.

The stale, narrow thinking that creates arbitrary and counter-productive boundaries between security threats and the conditions that give rise to them has kept us perpetually on the defensive.

---

I still find it amazing that the authors of this paper actually suggest that our best policy option is to resume funding the Taliban.

Hello! Earth to ivory tower! Funding the Taliban didn't work out so well for us the first time around; why do you think it will be any different now?

same old excuses, same old mistakes

"Additionally, those are domestic matters and Afghan sovereignty has to be respected."

This is the time-tested excuse of people who look the other way when human rights are abused, particularly those of women. From cops who would refuse to arrest men who beat their wives (*its a family matter, we don't want to get involved in a domestic situation*), to scores of dictators telling human rights watchdogs to butt out, its the same old story - the rallying cry of the morally and intellectual bankrupt.

This is not a question of whether or not the US should intervene, whether not we should nation-build. We already did, and we already are. And now that this has happened, we can't tacitly or actively condone actions that contradict the goals of US foreign policy. You and the authors posit a sort of policy schizophrenia, in which the US spends money assisting other countries to pursue gender equality, improve maternal and child health, spur economic development, and so on, while simultaneously funding groups who are doing the opposite. Now where is the sense in that?

Furthermore, you cannot have security and you cannot have stability when half of a population is enslaved and the whole population lives in daily fear for their lives. You cannot have stability and you cannot have security when even the slightest deviation from the dictated code of behavior - dancing a few steps, shaving one's beard - could be punished by immediate death.

As for "Afghan sovereignty" - what utter nonsense. Do you actually think that the Afghan people want to live in fear and misery? That that is their choice? That they want to be illiterate, that they want to die in childbirth, that they want to be banned from earning money, that they want to be abducted and raped, that they want to be orphans? That Afghans are somehow different from all other people in the world, that they want to be oppressed and terrorized?

Open your eyes and look around the world. All of our saber rattling at the government of Iran did nothing compared to the educated, empowered women who took to the streets before and after the election. With women educated and empowered, the number of pro-democracy, pro-stability activists is more than doubled. The Iranian protestors speak with far more moral weight because they represent the whole population - as opposed to being just another group of men fighting each other in the street.

The stale, narrow thinking that creates arbitrary and counter-productive boundaries between security threats and the conditions that give rise to them has kept us perpetually on the defensive.

I still find it amazing that the authors of this paper actually suggest that our best policy option is to resume funding the Taliban.

Hello! Earth to ivory tower! Funding the Taliban didn't work out so well for us the first time around; why do you think it will be any different this time?

same old excuses, same old mistakes

"Additionally, those are domestic matters and Afghan sovereignty has to be respected."

This is the time-tested excuse of people who look the other way when human rights are abused, particularly those of women. From cops who would refuse to arrest men who beat their wives (*its a family matter, we don't want to get involved in a domestic situation*), to scores of dictators telling human rights watchdogs to butt out, its the same old story - the rallying cry of the morally and intellectual bankrupt.

This is not a question of whether or not the US should intervene, whether not we should nation-build. We already did, and we already are. And now that this has happened, we can't tacitly or actively condone actions that contradict the goals of US foreign policy. You and the authors posit a sort of policy schizophrenia, in which the US spends money assisting other countries to pursue gender equality, improve maternal and child health, spur economic development, and so on, while simultaneously funding groups who are doing the opposite. Now where is the sense in that?

Furthermore, you cannot have security and you cannot have stability when half of a population is enslaved and the whole population lives in daily fear for their lives. You cannot have stability and you cannot have security when even the slightest deviation from the dictated code of behavior - dancing a few steps, shaving one's beard - could be punished by immediate death.

As for "Afghan sovereignty" - what utter nonsense. Do you actually think that the Afghan people want to live in fear and misery? That that is their choice? That they want to be illiterate, that they want to die in childbirth, that they want to be banned from earning money, that they want to be abducted and raped, that they want to be orphans? That Afghans are somehow different from all other people in the world, that they want to be oppressed and terrorized?

Open your eyes and look around the world. All of our saber rattling at the government of Iran did nothing compared to the educated, empowered women who took to the streets before and after the election. With women educated and empowered, the number of pro-democracy, pro-stability activists is more than doubled. The Iranian protestors speak with far more moral weight because they represent the whole population - as opposed to being just another group of men fighting each other in the street.

The stale, narrow thinking that creates arbitrary and counter-productive boundaries between security threats and the conditions that give rise to them has kept us perpetually on the defensive.

I still find it amazing that the authors of this paper actually suggest that our best policy option is to resume funding the Taliban.

Hello! Earth to ivory tower! Funding the Taliban didn't work out so well for us the first time around; why do you think it will be any different this time?

You can't flip overnight.

Please, please stop suggesting negotiations, flipping and other such ideas. They do not work. The Taliban today are not the Mujjahedin of yesteryears. These guys have a simple goal; a Islamic regime of their type only. No moderation possible. Play out the scenario; negotiations, Taliban share power, promise to be good, US leaves... Does anyone believe they will not revert? The problem originates in Pakistan and needs to be ended there. Sometimes fighting is the only CORRECT way to resolve a problem.

Sanjay

supperficial

In order to get a clearer picture from Afghanistan and the Taliban we need to have more in-depth study of the area and the realities of today’s Afghanistan. Also we need to know that Afghanistan is not Pashtunistan, second: neither all Pashtunes are Taliban nor all Taliban are Pashtunes. Third, Talibanism is not a product of Pashtune society and culture but an ideology cultivated in Pashtune society; and yes, the society is a fertile medium for nurturing such an ideology; because, those who made Talibanism they knew where to sow it to grow for the best.

Now, we have two problems at hand. 1- To convince the manufacturers to stop producing more Taliban and 2- to deal with the Taliban we are already facing with.

To tackle the first problem we need to find out who made them, and why? If the international community and NATO are honest to solve the problem, they need to convince Pakistan and Saudi Arabia to stop propagation of Talibanism and and exporting it out of their borders. If Saudis and Americans want to put Iran under pressure they should use other means, not to beat Shiite fanaticism of Iran by Sunni and Wahabi fanaticism of Saudi Arabia and Pakistani ISI.

Talibanism is not a new religion or religious sect. It is made for political usage. It is an intelligence-made ideology. They have much more and deeper roots in the international and regional politics rather than in Islam, “Pashtunwali” or in Afghanistan society. Even in the Pashtune areas far from Pakistani influence (periphery) the Taliban are not welcomed. So, why these analysts are wasting their precious time beating a dead nail.

Afghanistan is a geo-political Pandora box of events. There are not only the US, NATO, Afghanistan and Pakistan dealing with few faceless Taliban. They are only the peaks of the iceberg. Underground, there is another world of bloodiest businesses going on. China, Russia, India and Iran, Saudi Arabia, Turkey and Japan are other players in this arena. There are also rivalry between the NATO allies on ensuring control of certain resources and positions in Afghanistan and or through Afghanistan in other countries…

The essay is touching only superficial issues like Pashtunwali and finding the ways to “flip” the Taliban. It is superficial by the funniest way. Albeit, not for the western media-fed minds. But for us, Afghanistan people, we know how much out of context it is.

Raheel.

email: raheelsaboor@hotmail.com

Shifting allegiance

Mr Joseph
your breif is correct picture of what lies in AfPak.If some one is telling that some Taliban will side with USA.Those people are just buying time for Taliban to help them regroup. I dont think that USA think tank is so foolish accept if they are motivated. there is a saying in SOuth East Asia. " Even Snakes Kids can never be friends"

Subject: Shifting Allegiance

The authors present many examples of Taliban commanders and fighters shifting their allegiances and conclude that a promising strategy to get these insurgents to support the U.S. backed government would be to exploit this willingness to switch sides. They suggest encouraging defections through payment of money and provision of security for the fighters. They contend that, “For many Taliban fighters, insurgency has nothing to do with Islamic zealotry; it is a way of life.”

I doubt the efficacy of their approach. Their examples of defections and shifting alliances were always among Afghan Muslim groups; the switching of sides never involved movement toward any Western power or group identified with the U.S. Moreover, the authors explain how new fighters are recruited by stating, “Elders and peers tell them that opposing foreign forces is virtuous.” It is unlikely that Taliban insurgents would defect toward the U.S. or its allies, given that their reason for joining was to “oppose foreign forces,” i.e., the United States.

Flipping the Taliban

I have read this intresting article by the learned authors in Fotini Christia and Michael Semple.I will further suggest that to make an indepth and mark the authorship on this area the said authors may study more about South East Asia qua Afghanistan etc. I do suggest the reading about Mongol and Afghan raiders in the history of the area. I will also recommend reading about the Rule of Maharaja Ranjit Singh in this Subconitnent. Ranjit Singh was the only Indian ruler of the modern Indian history ,whoes rule extended well upto and within Afganistan. Yes in ancient or medieval past Afganistan was part of Hindustan.[Hindukush]. But the Ranjit as ruler established well defined rule within Afghanistan.His Sikh soldiers played major role in this. Hari Singh Nalwa was the dreaded Genral. The same Sikhs form the formidable part of Indian Army in the Present. The Sikh regiment in Indian Army is the most battle decorated regiment of this army. The authors may also read the articles on the battle ofr Sara Gari.[use google for search]
The point in making is that knowing the Afghan history the Participation of Indian army in Afganistan will help NATO forces. Now if one wants to continously get blackmailed by Pakistan. It is UPTO NATO TO DECIDE. and yes of course USA.

like giving viagra to rapists

This essay is not only shockingly short-sighted; it is also fatally flawed by its complete omission of gender analysis.

I won't hazard a guess as to whether the authors are ignorant about the conditions under which 50% of the Afghani people live, or if they simply don't care - as long as the men are happy, the authors are happy. I don't know which is worse.

The authors suggest, essentially, that we pay the Taliban to be our friends. We give the men cash and agree to let them to continue to keep all girls and women as slaves; the Taliban agrees not to intentionally try to destroy the U.S. And everybody - that is, the Taliban and the men they negotiate with - is happy. Right?

Wrong. An agreement such as this leaves in place the same factors that lead to violent insurgencies and weak states: high birthrate stemming from restrictions on family planning, driving ever-increasing generations young people whose needs outstrip the capacity of government, the economy, and natural resources; lack of economic growth because half the population is denied education, work, and access to capital; the perpetuation of grossly authoritarian family and social relations, which are associated with a preference for authoritarian politicians and rejection of democracy.

The authors make a number of mistakes. They seem to forget that while its possible that we can pay the Taliban to be our friends, there is always someone else who can pay more. Whether that's the Saudis or Saudi proxies, drug moguls, or someone else, the highest bidder will end up the winner.

They also err in equating the price of this program with the amount of cash payments handed out. They leave out the cost in subsequent development aid needed to deal with the consequences such an agreement: a horrifying rate of maternal mortality is but one of many crises that will have to be addressed.

It was bad enough when the US had no comment on the enslavement and segregation of half the population of Afghanistan. It is worse to give these practices the American seal of approval. Giving cash payments to men who will use that money to consolidate the total oppression of women woul represent a final, fatal capitulation of American values.

Not once do the authors acknowledge that Taliban rule would have a devastating impact on at least half the population. Apparently these people are expendable, superfluous; why not throw them under the bus if it will enable a deal that will help us save face as we retreat. After all, they're only women.

This is no solution - its a recipe for (continued) disaster.

Gender studies

While I appreciate your perspective in regard to gender issues and the Taliban, I posit that domestic issues can not be addressed on any level until security and stability is a part of daily Afghan life.

In defense of the authors, their focus is on that very stabilization. The creation of an Afghan state, regardless of its makeup (autonomous, federation, provincial authorities, etc...) must be the first, albeit cold, step.

I am from a camp which is skeptical of the morality and the practicality of imposing democracy on any group. Aside from this position, setting the stage for stability and security - in spite of the type of government or ideology which supports it - will facilitate the kind of change which you request.

A stable government, especially one with heavy US and Western influence, would provide both government and non-government agencies the freedom of action to provide aid to the citizens of Afghanistan, regardless of gender.

In retort, an argument may be made that a government of Taliban turncoats would be resistant to overtures from any agencies looking to help these groups, creating an obstacle where there once was a possibility - even a dangerous one. This point underscores the requirement for US involvement in the creation of the regimes responsible for distribution of these incentives. At a minimum, while there is a NATO presence in Afghanistan, a stable, secure situation would provide an opportunity for NGOs and government aid agencies alike.

Responding to your position from a different angle, I would make note of the Western lack of, or mis-understanding Pakhtunwali may lead to overreaction in regard to their backward domestic policies. Again, I would note that our responsibility is not to change an ancient culture - backward, foreign, and barbaric as it may be - rather, to stabilize a region of the world which provided a haven for those that would threaten globalization and US (a more focused concern) citizens.

In the end, I think that the authors describe a tool, rather than a silver bullet. Flipping the Taliban should be a part of the plan - not simply the plan. Creation of infrastructure and micro-economic opportunity must be accomplished coincidently or the flip will be temporary.

? poppy economy?

equiv. to history of Texas without cattle or oil.

Fear of rattling drug-warrior-pols & 'wonks' fails to solve the war.

Which Talibs have cash? Source(s)? How stable is their control of the opium business? Should one fall, how businesslike is/are successors?

Remember Sr. Lucky Luciano.

Getting Right this Time!!

We left them very abruptly after the (pull Back Of the Russians-- Defeat Really-- Charley Wilson' War--We need to do what we didn't do the first, Stablaize the government! I'm not sure The Northern Ireland/British idea would work.however, it may be worth a try. We need to win their hearts and minds by any means possible. They lie in a very stratigecte area,! dipolmacy, aid and advisers.