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As Grand Ayatollah Ali Sistani ages, a struggle to succeed him has begun, putting the spiritual leadership of one of the world's foremost faiths in play. But with neighboring Iran moving to install its preferred candidate in the position, the secular political foundations of Iraq's fledgling democracy are at risk.
Saudi Arabia and Turkey seemed to come together in recent years over trade, energy, Iran, and, most recently, the revolution in Libya. But the two countries' regional goals -- Sunni hegemony in Saudi Arabia's case and region-wide soft power in Turkey's -- differ too much for friendly ties to last long.
Israel's new coalition government will strengthen Benjamin Netanyahu's hand on Iran. But it will also force him to address long-standing internal issues, suggesting that Israelis, even as they trust Netanyahu on foreign policy, are no longer willing to defer domestic change.
Sanctions have succeeded in bringing Tehran back to the negotiating table, but they are a tactic, not a strategy. Any long-term policy has to aim for a democratic Iran.
This weekend's nuclear negotiations will almost certainly reach a dead end. Even so, they will have been worthwhile. Without a good-faith diplomatic effort, Washington would find it harder to get other capitals on board with alternative approaches, including a military strike.
Arab leaders are gathering in the Iraqi capital this week for the Arab League summit, which Baghdad has not hosted since 1990. The civil war in Syria and political transition in Yemen will be the foremost issues. But what's most important is that Iraq is now stable enough to keep itself off the agenda.
The Arab Spring created an ideological contest between Ankara and Tehran, and the former seems to be winning. Among other thing, this falling-out undercuts fears that the Justice and Development Party would pull Turkey irrevocably to the East.
On March 1 at the Council on Foreign Relations in New York, Foreign Affairs Managing Editor Jonathan Tepperman moderated a debate on the threats posed by Iran -- and how the United States should respond -- featuring authors Matthew Kroenig and Colin Kahl.
Brussels' newfound hawkishness will squander its influence with Tehran and its credibility with the rest of the international community. That will be bad for Europe and even worse for the chances of a peaceful resolution to the Iran impasse.
Weeks after the last U.S. soldier finally left the country, Iraq is on the road to becoming a failed state, with a deadlocked political system, an authoritarian leader, and a looming threat of disintegration. Baghdad can still pull itself together, but only if Washington starts applying the right kind of democratic pressure -- and fast.
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