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As Grand Ayatollah Ali Sistani ages, a struggle to succeed him has begun, putting the spiritual leadership of one of the world's foremost faiths in play. But with neighboring Iran moving to install its preferred candidate in the position, the secular political foundations of Iraq's fledgling democracy are at risk.
Arab leaders are gathering in the Iraqi capital this week for the Arab League summit, which Baghdad has not hosted since 1990. The civil war in Syria and political transition in Yemen will be the foremost issues. But what's most important is that Iraq is now stable enough to keep itself off the agenda.
Weeks after the last U.S. soldier finally left the country, Iraq is on the road to becoming a failed state, with a deadlocked political system, an authoritarian leader, and a looming threat of disintegration. Baghdad can still pull itself together, but only if Washington starts applying the right kind of democratic pressure -- and fast.
Iraq is not suffering sectarian strife as much as what could be called intra-sectarian conflict, in which rivals from both the country’s Shiite- and Sunni-dominated parties reposition themselves amid the political fray.
President Obama has declared that all remaining U.S. troops in Iraq will be "home for the holidays." The move may fulfill a campaign promise, but it endangers Baghdad's future and undermines U.S. interests in the region.
Yesterday's announcement of a plot to assassinate the Saudi Arabian Ambassador to the United States is just the latest story in the struggle now unfolding between Iran and Saudi Arabia.
The White House has been pressuring Maliki to invite U.S. troops to stay in Iraq after the upcoming deadline for withdrawal. It should stop. There are no good reasons for the military to stay.
Due to the U.S. experience in Iraq, Americans became skeptical of intervening in overseas conflicts. Much of this "Iraq syndrome" can be seen in the hesitant approach to the chaos in Libya.
Although the current protests in Iraq are unlikely to lead to the country's collapse, Iraqis’ patience with their government’s inadequacies is wearing thin. Should Prime Minister Nouri al-Maliki be nervous?
This article appears in the Foreign Affairs/CFR eBook, The New Arab Revolt.
The surge of U.S. troops into Iraq helped decrease violence and set the stage for the eventual U.S. withdrawal. But the country still has a long way to go before it becomes sovereign and self-reliant. To stabilize itself and realize its democratic aspirations, Iraq needs Washington's continued support.
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