Eastern Europe & Caucasus
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Essay,
Nov/Dec
2011
President Viktor Yanukovych has led Ukraine, no stranger to crisis, into another round of turmoil. He has rolled back democracy while failing to take on corruption or take the country closer to Europe. Now, much of the public has turned against him -- and the country could be headed for more unrest.
Snapshot,
October 3, 2011
Russia's ruling security-services clan, which has usurped power over the last decade, needs Vladimir Putin to return to power. Putin and this close-knit group plan to rule the country for life -- but economic stagnation and rising social unrest means they may be in for a shock.
Letter From,
December 23, 2010
With a new visa-free travel regime and other overtures of "soft power," Georgia is attempting to win the favor of the citizens of the Russian North Caucasus. Is Moscow right to fear Tbilisi's new plan?
Snapshot,
August 20, 2010
The United States may have reset its Russia policy, but the U.S. approach to the other states in the region is in dire need of a conceptual revolution.
Essay,
Jul/Aug
2010
A pernicious mix of heavy-handed rule, corrupt governance, high unemployment, and militant Islam has reignited the Russian North Caucasus. Today, it is not only the old conflict zone of Chechnya but also its neighboring republics that are bordering on open civil war.
Letter From,
July 1, 2010
Georgia's leaders are caught between a Kremlin bureaucracy that views their country as a lost province and a West that needs Russian cooperation on issues from energy to Iran.
Essay,
Jul/Aug
2010
On becoming president of Ukraine, Viktor Yanukovych immediately took actions that undermined democracy and aligned Ukraine closely with Russia. If he keeps on his current course, he could very well provoke a second Orange Revolution.
Snapshot,
February 4, 2010
Unlike in 2004, Ukraine's upcoming presidential election will not determine the country's geopolitical orientation. But it will test whether the young democracy can stabilize its economy, cut down on corruption, and navigate its relations with Russia and the West.
Postscript,
October 11, 2009
The recent EU report on the 2008 Russia-Georgia War confirms that both Georgia and Russia acted irresponsibly before and during the war. But it misses an opportunity to outline how the long-running territorial disputes of the Caucasus might be best resolved.
Letter From,
August 11, 2009
One year after its war with Russia, Georgia is dispirited and unsure of its future. Has the United States staked too much on this small, fractured country in the Caucasus?
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