Civil & Military Relations
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Snapshot,
January 22, 2012
The ruling Pakistan People's Party's days in office are numbered. But it will not likely fall to a coup, given the stalemate between the military, the judiciary, and the civilians. Instead, the most likely outcome is that the government will call early general elections, which will bring a new batch of civilians to the fore.
Snapshot,
December 22, 2011
Over the last decade, Egyptian women have made progress, however gradual, in a fight for control over their children, their marriages, and their place in society. While the revolution may be rewriting the country's political order, it has stifled female progress.
Letter From,
November 29, 2011
Protests have erupted in Tahrir Square again, but don't expect a second revolution. Egypt's still-popular military rulers have contained the dwindling demonstrations, historic elections are underway, and everyday life in Cairo continues. Still, if the SCAF fails to deliver on its promises to cede power by July, it will face much greater unrest.
Letter From,
October 12, 2011
Neither Islamabad nor Rawalpindi wants a major showdown with Washington, but an increasingly anti-American public is pushing them to stand up to the United States in ways they cannot afford.
Snapshot,
October 12, 2011
Renewed efforts to work with Pakistan's people and politicians -- through professional exchanges, training programs, and increased trade -- will eventually bear fruit, stabilizing the country and empowering civilians to exert control over security and foreign policy.
Snapshot,
October 12, 2011
Cuts or increases in U.S. civilian and military aid will not alter Islamabad's political calculus -- and Washington should stop expecting them to. Nevertheless, it should stay engaged with the country if only to protect its major regional strategic interests.
Essay,
Sept/Oct
2011
Despite its vows to speed Egypt toward elections, the country's military leadership is actually ambivalent about democracy. Above all, Egypt's generals want to preserve stability and protect their privileges. But having unleashed democracy, the military may not be able to control it -- especially if Washington keeps up the pressure to move forward.
Essay,
Sept/Oct
2011
To understand the Brotherhood's prospects in Egypt's upcoming elections, one has to understand the organization itself. This intensely disciplined operation has an intricate system for recruitment and promotion and a devoutly loyal membership -- one likely to triumph at the polls and move Egypt in a decidedly theocratic, anti-Western direction.
Snapshot,
August 8, 2011
Turkey is not yet a liberal democracy but it is moving in the right direction. Those who lament the military chief of staff's recent resignation, arguing that the armed forces were an essential check on civilian politics, should understand that Turkey is now becoming a normal democracy, where elected officials will matter more than the military.
Snapshot,
August 1, 2011
Many Egyptian military officers and some civilian politicians are interested in replicating the so-called Turkish model for Egypt, in which the military would play a leading role in guiding society and politics. But such a strategy is a poor fit for the country.
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