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Terrible rulers, sullen populations, a terrorist fringe -- the Arabs' exceptionalism was becoming not just a human disaster but a moral one. Then, a frustrated Tunisian fruit vendor summoned his fellows to a new history, and millions heeded his call. The third Arab awakening came in the nick of time, and it may still usher in freedom.
The ruling Pakistan People's Party's days in office are numbered. But it will not likely fall to a coup, given the stalemate between the military, the judiciary, and the civilians. Instead, the most likely outcome is that the government will call early general elections, which will bring a new batch of civilians to the fore.
Today’s troubles are real, but not ideological: they relate more to policies than to principles. The postwar order of mutually supporting liberal democracies with mixed economies solved the central challenge of modernity, reconciling democracy and capitalism. The task now is getting the system back into shape.
Over the last decade, Egyptian women have made progress, however gradual, in a fight for control over their children, their marriages, and their place in society. While the revolution may be rewriting the country's political order, it has stifled female progress.
Judged by any yardstick, Afghanistan has made little progress since 2001. The United States and its allies have bred an overly centralized and ineffective government in Kabul that is hooked on foreign aid and struggles against a resurgent Taliban. Without serious reforms, the next ten years could be worse.
Throughout the year, Assad relied on Iran and Russia to block international intervention, hoping to buy time to quash the protests without interference. It's not working -- but he has no other options.
Tyrants have fallen in Tunisia, Egypt, and Libya. Now these societies face a daunting task: Engineer constitutions to formalize democratic governments. That process is underway in all three countries. The risk now is that the drafters could dodge the very rules they're setting out to create.
Washington seems to believe that a secular victory in this week's election would be good for U.S. interests, and an Islamist one would be bad. But no matter which party wins, the new Egypt will be less compliant to U.S. demands.
Protests have erupted in Tahrir Square again, but don't expect a second revolution. Egypt's still-popular military rulers have contained the dwindling demonstrations, historic elections are underway, and everyday life in Cairo continues. Still, if the SCAF fails to deliver on its promises to cede power by July, it will face much greater unrest.
As tensions rise over Iran's nuclear program, the United States is still struggling to pressure the ayatollahs. But Washington could neutralize Iran sooner by calling the regime to account on human rights grounds.
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