Who Is Winning the Trade War?

Foreign Affairs Asks the Experts

Container boxes at Yangshan Deep Water Port in Shanghai, September 2016  Aly Song / Reuters

We at Foreign Affairs have recently published a number of pieces dealing with the U.S.- China trade war. To complement these articles, we decided to ask a broad pool of experts for their take. As with previous surveys, we approached dozens of authorities with deep specialized expertise relevant to the question at hand, together with a few leading generalists in the field. Participants were asked to state whether they agreed or disagreed with a proposition and to rate their confidence level in their opinion; the answers from those who responded are below:

Debate Statement

The trade war has hurt the United States more than it has hurt China.

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