Nuclear Non-Proliferation: An Agenda for the 1990s
Edited by John Simpson
Cambridge University Press, 1987, 237 pp.
The International Atomic Energy Agency and World Nuclear Order
By Lawrence Scheinman
Resources for the Future, 1987, 320 pp.
That the proliferation of nuclear weapons is not higher on the international agenda is perhaps cause for modest optimism, and both these books reflect that posture. The Nonproliferation Treaty formally expires in 1995, and that event is the point of departure for the Simpson book. It brings together an impressive group of analysts from around the world; particularly interesting are Lewis Dunn's chapter on possible futures and Joseph Pilat's on a world without the NPT. Lawrence Scheinman examines the strength and weaknesses of another key part of the nonproliferation regime, the International Atomic Energy Agency, with the perspective of one who knows only too well that stopping proliferation is in the end a political task, not a technical one. That realization makes his recommendations for improving the IAEA appropriately modest.