One of Uruguay's foremost social scientists, a pioneer in survey research, analyzes the restoration of Uruguayan democracy against the background of the country's long democratic experience. His review is sobering: "The same risk-prone configuration of the years preceding the 1933 and 1973 coups remains the most likely forecast: serious substantive problems, fractionalization of the governing party, which has no legislative majority either, and presidentialism ... which may lead very early to stalemates blocking the formulation of policies." The author proposes turning to parliamentary institutions as a way to reduce the risks of stalemate or confrontation in Uruguay; this argument is also being heard more frequently in Brazil, Chile and other Latin American nations.
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